BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Penn State
Class: 1A Class Rank: 10 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (9-1) Overall: (11-3) Overall Strength = 157.91
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2016 Home W 141.07 33 13 1A 115 ( 3- 9) Kent St -15.92 * 35.92
2 09/10/2016 Away L 148.40 39 42 1A 21 ( 8- 5) Pittsburgh -8.59 5.59
3 09/17/2016 Home W 153.31 34 27 1A 29 ( 10- 4) Temple -3.68 10.68
4 09/24/2016 Away L * 132.62 10 49 1A 4 ( 10- 3) Michigan -24.37 -14.63
5 10/01/2016 Home W * 147.62 29 26 1A 38 ( 9- 4) Minnesota -9.37 12.37
6 10/08/2016 Home W * 156.19 38 14 1A 62 ( 6- 7) Maryland -0.81 24.81
7 10/22/2016 Home W * 171.41 24 21 1A 3 ( 11- 2) Ohio State 14.41 -11.41
8 10/29/2016 Away W * 164.46 62 24 1A 106 ( 3- 9) Purdue 7.47 30.53
9 11/05/2016 Home W * 173.94 41 14 1A 28 ( 8- 5) Iowa 16.95 10.05
10 11/12/2016 Away W * 155.36 45 31 1A 72 ( 6- 7) Indiana -1.64 15.64
11 11/19/2016 Away W * 161.91 39 0 1A 103 ( 2- 10) Rutgers 4.91 * 34.09
12 11/26/2016 Home W * 172.47 45 12 1A 57 ( 3- 9) Michigan St 15.47 17.53
13 12/03/2016 Neutral W * 165.11 38 31 1A 6 ( 10- 3) Wisconsin 8.11 -1.11
14 01/02/2017 Neutral L 154.06 49 52 1A 12 ( 10- 3) Southern Cal -2.94 -0.06
Averages 156.99 37.6 25.4
Best game: 173.94 = 27 point win over Iowa
Worst game: 132.62 = 39 point loss to Michigan
Team stdev: 12.14